Ipswich R2

13:04Ipswich Party Hire Mdn Plate
1200mMaidenRail: +8m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Ipswich Party Hire Mdn Platea 1200m maiden at Ipswich, jumping at 13:04 on ground, rail +8m. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Ipswich has staged 71 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 35 of 71 (49.3% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.59 (7 from 111).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 31 of 71 (43.7% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 27).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 42 of 71 (59.2% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (12 from 152).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 121 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers 15 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 0.89 (9 from 57); overall it's Middle (5–9).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.19 (8 from 36).
  • Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 0.98 (3 from 67); overall it's Pop ($2–5).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Ben E Thompson: 45 from 301 (15.0%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Video Vixen here.
  • Trainer C J Waller: 34 from 208 (16.3%) in the last 30 days — saddles #6 Assumed, #12 Stylish Edition here.
  • Trainer G Heinrich & B Rodgers is 6 from 31 at today’s meeting profile (19.4% strike, A/E 1.88) and has #4 Video Vixen here.
  • Jockey Ashley Butler is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.34) and has #1 City Bound here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 71 races (71 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2692940.8%10.8%0.72
Middle (5–9)2943549.3%11.9%1.02
Wide (10+)11179.9%6.3%0.59

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1773143.7%17.5%1.01
On-pace (4–6)1761825.4%10.2%0.75
Midfield (7–10)1731014.1%5.8%0.66
Backmarkers (11+)2700%0%0.00
Unknown1211216.9%9.9%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)957%55.6%0.99
Pop ($2–5)1484259.2%28.4%0.97
Mid ($5–10)1521216.9%7.9%0.58
Roughie (>$10)3651216.9%3.3%0.71

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.