Fertpro (Bm65) — a 1200m benchmark 65 at Ipswich, jumping at 15:59 on — ground, rail +8m. 11 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ipswich has staged 71 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 35 of 71 (49.3% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.59 (7 from 111).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 31 of 71 (43.7% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 27).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 42 of 71 (59.2% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (12 from 152).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 121 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers 15 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 0.89 (9 from 57); overall it's Middle (5–9).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.19 (8 from 36).
- Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 0.98 (3 from 67); overall it's Pop ($2–5).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Harrison Shaw: 7 from 32 (21.9%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #7 Thunder Award here.
- Trainer K M Schweida: 7 from 41 (17.1%) in the last 30 days — saddles #9 Artistic Endeavour here.
- Trainer C J Waller: 34 from 208 (16.3%) in the last 30 days — saddles #13 Flaxlands here.
- Trainer G Heinrich & B Rodgers is 6 from 31 at today’s meeting profile (19.4% strike, A/E 1.88) and has #10 National Interest here.
- Trainer Jesse Townsend is 3 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (15.0% strike, A/E 1.83) and has #8 Brechen here.