Te Aroha R3

11:37K & R Stpl

3500mRest 1 Win StplRail: True

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7Track

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.16top 3

Ranked 1st

11. Mont Ventoux

Nick Downs (1)

Ranked 2nd

5. Sound Of Silence

Billy Marshall (10)

Ranked 3rd

9. Jerricoop

Hamish Mc Neill (8)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers2

settle 11+

10Keepz Occurring(9)

1Auld Jock(11)

Midfield5

settle 7–10

8Brother Max(3)

2Renegade Fighter(4)

3Top Street(5)

9Jerricoop(8)

5Sound Of Silence(10)

On-pace4

settle 3–6

11Mont Ventoux(1)

12Muse(2)

7Odysseus(6)

6Uncle Charlie(7)

Leaders0

pushing for the lead

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Historical overview

Across the 7 sampled runnings of 3500m at Te Aroha: Unknown — 6 of 7 winners (85.7% of winners, 10.5% strike, 0.84 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 3 of 7 winners (42.9% of winners, 12.0% strike, 1.11 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 3 (66.7% strike, 1.03 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 14.3% of winners.

Historical leans

Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance

3500m · 7 races (7 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	25	3	42.9%	12%	1.11
Middle (5–9)	34	3	42.9%	8.8%	0.57
Wide (10+)	8	1	14.3%	12.5%	2.43

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	3	0	0%	0%	0.00
On-pace (4–6)	3	1	14.3%	33.3%	5.29
Midfield (7–10)	4	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	57	6	85.7%	10.5%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	3	2	28.6%	66.7%	1.03
Pop ($2–5)	8	4	57.1%	50%	1.73
Mid ($5–10)	12	0	0%	0%	0.00
Roughie (>$10)	44	1	14.3%	2.3%	0.42