Wagga R4

14:10Australian Grain Technologies Mdn Plate
1000mMaidenRail: +8m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Australian Grain Technologies Mdn Platea 1000m maiden at Wagga, jumping at 14:10 on ground, rail +8m. 15 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wagga has staged 37 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 19 of 37 (51.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 16 of 37 (43.2% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.43 (3 from 73).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 21 of 37 (56.8% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (6 from 82).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 113 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 4–6 accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 2.50) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Pierre Boudvillain: 11 from 55 (20.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #2 Mount Ogilvie here.
  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 20 from 103 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — rides #13 Who's Who here.
  • Trainer R T Stubbs: 6 from 33 (18.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #15 Et Zou here.
  • Jockey Carly Frater is 5 from 42 at today’s meeting profile (11.9% strike, A/E 1.68) and has #10 Tenacious Tiger here.
  • Jockey Robyn Freeman is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.32) and has #12 Piratess here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 37 races (37 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1451951.4%13.1%0.83
Middle (5–9)1531335.1%8.5%0.74
Wide (10+)51513.5%9.8%1.09

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)781643.2%20.5%1.18
On-pace (4–6)78513.5%6.4%0.48
Midfield (7–10)7338.1%4.1%0.43
Backmarkers (11+)725.4%28.6%4.78
Unknown1131129.7%9.7%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)7410.8%57.1%0.93
Pop ($2–5)772156.8%27.3%0.95
Mid ($5–10)82616.2%7.3%0.54
Roughie (>$10)183616.2%3.3%0.83