Wagga R6

15:20Tooheys Plate (C1)
1600mClass 1Rail: +8m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Tooheys Plate (C1)a 1600m class 1 at Wagga, jumping at 15:20 on ground, rail +8m. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wagga has staged 28 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 13 of 28 (46.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 12 of 28 (42.9% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.37).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 28 (42.9% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.60 (4 from 164).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 56 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers only 1 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: nothing in that limited data stands out; the overall numbers above carry the read.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Coriah Keatings × N J Olive are 7 from 36 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #5 Tis No Man here.
  • Jockey Pierre Boudvillain: 11 from 55 (20.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #8 Look Here here.
  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 20 from 103 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — rides #6 Mr Avery here.
  • Trainer C D Widdison: 9 from 55 (16.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Burning Issues here.
  • Trainer Doug Gorrel is 10 from 71 at today’s meeting profile (14.1% strike, A/E 1.59) and has #4 Perfectly Good, #13 My Mate Elvis here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 28 races (28 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1071035.7%9.3%0.91
Middle (5–9)1221346.4%10.7%0.87
Wide (10+)64517.9%7.8%0.62

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)691242.9%17.4%1.37
On-pace (4–6)69310.7%4.3%0.33
Midfield (7–10)78828.6%10.3%0.90
Backmarkers (11+)2100%0%0.00
Unknown56517.9%8.9%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)527.1%40%0.68
Pop ($2–5)481242.9%25%0.83
Mid ($5–10)761035.7%13.2%1.00
Roughie (>$10)164414.3%2.4%0.60