Wagga R7

16:00Riverina Refrigeration (Bm58)
1400mBenchmark 58Rail: +8m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Riverina Refrigeration (Bm58)a 1400m benchmark 58 at Wagga, jumping at 16:00 on ground, rail +8m. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wagga has staged 36 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 15 of 36 (41.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 13 of 36 (36.1% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (5 from 97).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 18 of 36 (50.0% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.57 (7 from 88).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 105 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Wide (10+) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 10 runners, A/E 1.81) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Coriah Keatings × N J Olive are 7 from 36 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #10 Midnight Affair here.
  • Jockey Pierre Boudvillain: 11 from 55 (20.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #11 Taluk here.
  • Trainer Michael Travers: 7 from 26 (26.9%) in the last 30 days — saddles #11 Taluk here.
  • Trainer Doug Gorrel is 10 from 71 at today’s meeting profile (14.1% strike, A/E 1.59) and has #6 Sorry Sunshine here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 36 races (36 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1361233.3%8.8%0.72
Middle (5–9)1681541.7%8.9%0.83
Wide (10+)111925%8.1%0.97

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)891336.1%14.6%1.19
On-pace (4–6)75616.7%8%0.69
Midfield (7–10)97513.9%5.2%0.54
Backmarkers (11+)4925.6%4.1%0.66
Unknown1051027.8%9.5%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)612.8%16.7%0.28
Pop ($2–5)691850%26.1%0.95
Mid ($5–10)88719.4%8%0.57
Roughie (>$10)2521027.8%4%1.04