Wagga R5

14:45JRC Electrical Services (Bm82)
1000mBenchmark 82Rail: +8m
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

JRC Electrical Services (Bm82)a 1000m benchmark 82 at Wagga, jumping at 14:45 on ground, rail +8m. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wagga has staged 37 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 19 of 37 (51.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 16 of 37 (43.2% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.43 (3 from 73).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 21 of 37 (56.8% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (6 from 82).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 113 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 4–6 accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 2.50) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 20 from 103 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — rides #3 One Hard Lady here.
  • Jockey Damon Budler: 15 from 80 (18.8%) in the last 90 days — rides #11 I'm Airborne here.
  • Jockey Carly Frater is 5 from 42 at today’s meeting profile (11.9% strike, A/E 1.68) and has #10 Lang Park here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 37 races (37 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1451951.4%13.1%0.83
Middle (5–9)1531335.1%8.5%0.74
Wide (10+)51513.5%9.8%1.09

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)781643.2%20.5%1.18
On-pace (4–6)78513.5%6.4%0.48
Midfield (7–10)7338.1%4.1%0.43
Backmarkers (11+)725.4%28.6%4.78
Unknown1131129.7%9.7%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)7410.8%57.1%0.93
Pop ($2–5)772156.8%27.3%0.95
Mid ($5–10)82616.2%7.3%0.54
Roughie (>$10)183616.2%3.3%0.83