Kia Ora Bloodlines To Headlines Mdn Hcp — a 1100m maiden at Canterbury, jumping at 12:50 on — ground, rail +6m. 11 runners engaged.
At the trip
Canterbury has staged 36 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 21 of 36 (58.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 15 of 36 (41.7% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.53 (3 from 62).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 19 of 36 (52.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 48 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.61 (1 from 5).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 1–3 — A/E 1.27 (7 from 27); overall it's Settle position 4–6.
- Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.56 (3 from 43); overall it's Mid ($5–10).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Keagan Latham: 23 from 132 (17.4%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #9 Written Redemption here.
- Trainer M, W & J Hawkes: 20 from 98 (20.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Churchillian here.
- Trainer G Waterhouse & A Bott: 32 from 199 (16.1%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #6 Farfetched here.
- Jockey Mollie Fitzgerald is 4 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (14.8% strike, A/E 1.34) and has #10 Ballet Encore here.
- Jockey Tyler Schiller is 9 from 54 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.22) and has #1 Churchillian here.