TAB (Bm72) — a 1900m benchmark 72 at Canterbury, jumping at 15:45 on — ground, rail +6m. 15 runners engaged.
At the trip
Canterbury has staged 31 races at 1900m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 21 of 31 (67.7% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.49 (8 from 121).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 11 of 31 (35.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 14 of 31 (45.2% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.32).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 54 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Mid ($5–10) accounted for 4 of the 7 winners (4 from 16 runners, A/E 1.86) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Jean Van Overmeire × Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter are 5 from 20 (25.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #7 Captain Fenkel here.
- Together, Siena Grima × C J Waller are 16 from 76 (21.1%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #3 Kapakiri here.
- Trainer G Waterhouse & A Bott: 32 from 199 (16.1%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #14 Think I Will here.
- Jockey Mollie Fitzgerald is 4 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (14.8% strike, A/E 1.34) and has #1 Luskaire here.
- Trainer P M Perry is 2 from 21 at today’s meeting profile (9.5% strike, A/E 1.29) and has #8 General Soho here.