Robrick Lodge (Bm64) — a 1550m benchmark 64 at Canterbury, jumping at 15:10 on — ground, rail +6m. 15 runners engaged.
At the trip
Canterbury has staged 41 races at 1550m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 27 of 41 (65.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 20 of 41 (48.8% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.42 (2 from 57).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 26 of 41 (63.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 68 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers 8 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.13 (5 from 29).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.29 (5 from 21).
- Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.96 (5 from 18).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Siena Grima × C J Waller are 16 from 76 (21.1%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #9 Lipstick here.
- Together, Tyler Schiller × C J Waller are 6 from 32 (18.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #8 Sister Daae here.
- Trainer Tom Charlton: 6 from 34 (17.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #4 Three Arrows here.
- Trainer C Maher: 28 from 167 (16.8%) in the last 30 days — saddles #1 Covert Thinking here.
- Jockey Winona Costin is 2 from 17 at today’s meeting profile (11.8% strike, A/E 1.87) and has #11 Sharbino here.
- Jockey Mollie Fitzgerald is 4 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (14.8% strike, A/E 1.34) and has #1 Covert Thinking here.