Canterbury R7

16:20Ranvet (Bm72)
1250mBenchmark 72Rail: +6m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Ranvet (Bm72)a 1250m benchmark 72 at Canterbury, jumping at 16:20 on ground, rail +6m. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Canterbury has staged 57 races at 1250m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 33 of 57 (57.9% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 25).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 28 of 57 (49.1% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (4 from 86).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 26 of 57 (45.6% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (5 from 199).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 78 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 0.90 (7 from 44); overall it's Middle (5–9).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.00 (7 from 33).
  • Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.36 (5 from 25); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Keagan Latham: 23 from 132 (17.4%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #8 Sociable here.
  • Trainer Tom Charlton: 6 from 34 (17.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #3 Metaphorically, #15 Astronomix here.
  • Trainer C Maher: 28 from 167 (16.8%) in the last 30 days — saddles #8 Sociable here.
  • Jockey Winona Costin is 2 from 17 at today’s meeting profile (11.8% strike, A/E 1.87) and has #14 Pearler here.
  • Jockey Mollie Fitzgerald is 4 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (14.8% strike, A/E 1.34) and has #13 Maz Kanata here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1250m · 57 races (57 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2123357.9%15.6%0.81
Middle (5–9)2032442.1%11.8%0.94
Wide (10+)2500%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1382849.1%20.3%1.05
On-pace (4–6)1361424.6%10.3%0.66
Midfield (7–10)8647%4.7%0.58
Backmarkers (11+)200%0%0.00
Unknown781119.3%14.1%0.85

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)141017.5%71.4%1.23
Pop ($2–5)1212645.6%21.5%0.73
Mid ($5–10)1061628.1%15.1%1.08
Roughie (>$10)19958.8%2.5%0.56

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.