Afgri Christmas In July – 23 July Mdn — a 2200m maiden at Northam, jumping at 14:34 on — ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.
At the trip
Northam has staged 18 races at 2200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 9 of 18 each (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 8 of 18 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 8 of 18 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 8 runners, A/E 1.41) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Holly Watson × Mitchell Pateman are 6 from 29 (20.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Ignatian here.
- Jockey William Pike: 57 from 215 (26.5%) in the last 90 days (19 of those in the last 30) — rides #8 Savienne here.
- Jockey Troy Turner is 9 from 69 at today’s meeting profile (13.0% strike, A/E 1.25) and has #4 Big Man Zor here.
- Jockey Jefferson Tsang is 6 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (18.2% strike, A/E 1.24) and has #2 Going Hard here.