Northam R3

15:47Debortoli Family Winemakers Mdn
1100mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Debortoli Family Winemakers Mdna 1100m maiden at Northam, jumping at 15:47 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Northam has staged 31 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 16 of 31 (51.6% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.47 (2 from 65).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 11 of 31 each (35.5% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.59 (1 from 35).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 14 of 31 (45.2% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.40 (3 from 58).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 3 of the 4 winners (3 from 13 runners, A/E 1.80) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Natasha Faithfull × D & B Pearce are 3 from 21 (14.3%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #12 Sippa Spritz here.
  • Jockey Clint Johnston-Porter: 9 from 48 (18.8%) in the last 30 days — rides #8 Champagne Cathay here.
  • Trainer D M Luciani: 5 from 27 (18.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Wrexham here.
  • Trainer Ms D Riordan is 5 from 25 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 2.00) and has #9 Tabba Tabba Boom here.
  • Jockey Joey Azzopardi is 4 from 21 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.80) and has #9 Tabba Tabba Boom here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1100m · 31 races (31 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1171651.6%13.7%0.87
Middle (5–9)1491341.9%8.7%0.86
Wide (10+)6526.5%3.1%0.47

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)931135.5%11.8%0.83
On-pace (4–6)931135.5%11.8%0.86
Midfield (7–10)110825.8%7.3%0.80
Backmarkers (11+)3513.2%2.9%0.59

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)8619.4%75%1.30
Pop ($2–5)611445.2%23%0.78
Mid ($5–10)5839.7%5.2%0.40
Roughie (>$10)204825.8%3.9%1.04

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.