Northam R7

18:07Retro Raceday – Sunday 4 Oct (Bm54+)
2200mBenchMark 54+Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Retro Raceday – Sunday 4 Oct (Bm54+)a 2200m benchmark 54+ at Northam, jumping at 18:07 on ground, rail true. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Northam has staged 18 races at 2200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 9 of 18 each (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 8 of 18 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 8 of 18 (44.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 8 runners, A/E 1.41) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Lucy F Fiore × G & A Williams are 6 from 21 (28.6%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #7 Barraquito here.
  • Trainer D M Luciani: 5 from 27 (18.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #10 Miss Santa Corrs here.
  • Trainer Michael Grantham: 32 from 134 (23.9%) in the last 90 days (14 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 Sweet Surrender here.
  • Trainer Mack Hall is 3 from 35 at today’s meeting profile (8.6% strike, A/E 1.34) and has #6 L'il Capri here.
  • Trainer Summer Dickson is 4 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (14.3% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #3 Savvy Ruler here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2200m · 18 races (18 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)70950%12.9%0.89
Middle (5–9)73950%12.3%0.87
Wide (10+)1700%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)54527.8%9.3%0.67
On-pace (4–6)54844.4%14.8%0.99
Midfield (7–10)46527.8%10.9%0.84
Backmarkers (11+)600%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5316.7%60%1.05
Pop ($2–5)37844.4%21.6%0.76
Mid ($5–10)34422.2%11.8%0.88
Roughie (>$10)84316.7%3.6%0.77

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.