Northam R6

17:30Tunes At The Track – Sunday 13 Sept Hcp (C1)
1600mClass 1Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Tunes At The Track – Sunday 13 Sept Hcp (C1)a 1600m class 1 at Northam, jumping at 17:30 on ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Northam has staged 35 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 18 of 35 (51.4% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (10 from 128).
  • Pace: Settle position 7–10 wins the most races here — 13 of 35 (37.1% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.53 (2 from 41).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 35 (37.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 4 of the 7 winners (4 from 27 runners, A/E 1.07) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, William Pike × Michael Grantham are 15 from 42 (35.7%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #4 Enchanted Miss here.
  • Trainer Mack Hall: 5 from 25 (20.0%) in the last 30 days — saddles #6 Stolen here.
  • Jockey Joey Azzopardi is 4 from 21 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.80) and has #5 Macho Arquero here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 35 races (35 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1281028.6%7.8%0.55
Middle (5–9)1581851.4%11.4%1.02
Wide (10+)85720%8.2%1.01

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1041234.3%11.5%1.03
On-pace (4–6)105822.9%7.6%0.57
Midfield (7–10)1211337.1%10.7%0.98
Backmarkers (11+)4125.7%4.9%0.53

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)8514.3%62.5%1.02
Pop ($2–5)601337.1%21.7%0.78
Mid ($5–10)861028.6%11.6%0.85
Roughie (>$10)217720%3.2%0.76

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.