Northam R8

18:42Procon Developments (Aust) Northam Cup – 25 Oct Hcp (C3)
1300mClass 3Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Procon Developments (Aust) Northam Cup – 25 Oct Hcp (C3)a 1300m class 3 at Northam, jumping at 18:42 on ground, rail true. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Northam has staged 49 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 21 of 49 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 17 of 49 (34.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 18 of 49 (36.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Mid ($5–10) accounted for 2 of the 4 winners (2 from 9 runners, A/E 1.67) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, William Pike × Michael Grantham are 15 from 42 (35.7%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #7 Cosmic Spirit here.
  • Jockey Clint Johnston-Porter: 9 from 48 (18.8%) in the last 30 days — rides #6 Berry Blast here.
  • Trainer Simon Miller: 5 from 21 (23.8%) in the last 30 days — saddles #6 Berry Blast here.
  • Trainer Mack Hall: 5 from 25 (20.0%) in the last 30 days — saddles #10 Smart Return here.
  • Trainer Ms D Riordan is 5 from 25 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 2.00) and has #11 Military Jane here.
  • Jockey Joey Azzopardi is 4 from 21 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.80) and has #11 Military Jane here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 49 races (49 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1851938.8%10.3%0.84
Middle (5–9)2332142.9%9%0.77
Wide (10+)108918.4%8.3%0.93

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1471734.7%11.6%0.84
On-pace (4–6)1471632.7%10.9%0.93
Midfield (7–10)1751326.5%7.4%0.66
Backmarkers (11+)5636.1%5.4%1.19
Unknown100%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)11510.2%45.5%0.78
Pop ($2–5)871836.7%20.7%0.70
Mid ($5–10)1181734.7%14.4%1.06
Roughie (>$10)310918.4%2.9%0.76

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.