Dunnings Mdn — a 1000m maiden at Northam, jumping at 15:12 on — ground, rail true. 10 runners engaged.
At the trip
Northam has staged 28 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 16 of 28 (57.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 13 of 28 (46.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 28 (53.6% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (3 from 131).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Odds-on (≤$2) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 2 runners, A/E 1.95) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Patrick Carbery × Mitchell Pateman are 5 from 19 (26.3%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #8 Lady Enfield here.
- Trainer Mack Hall: 5 from 25 (20.0%) in the last 30 days — saddles #5 Mahler's Melody here.
- Jockey Jefferson Tsang is 6 from 33 at today’s meeting profile (18.2% strike, A/E 1.24) and has #10 Invincible Sin here.