Sportsbet Race Previews Hcp — a 1100m open at Caulfield, jumping at 12:05 on — ground, rail out 6m entire circuit. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Caulfield has staged 36 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 17 of 36 (47.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 13 of 36 each (36.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 36 (41.7% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (5 from 181).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Mid ($5–10) accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 10 runners, A/E 2.29) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Craig Williams × Ben, Will & Jd Hayes are 6 from 10 (60.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #15 Portinari here.
- Together, Jabez Johnstone × C Maher are 16 from 64 (25.0%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #2 Angels Fury here.
- Trainer C J Waller: 34 from 216 (15.7%) in the last 30 days — saddles #7 Artrema here.
- Jockey Jett Stanley is 5 from 36 at today’s meeting profile (13.9% strike, A/E 2.10) and has #6 Egyptian Dancer here.