Sportsbet Sir John Monash Stakes — a 1100m group 3 at Caulfield, jumping at 15:40 on — ground, rail out 6m entire circuit. 11 runners engaged.
At the trip
Caulfield has staged 36 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 17 of 36 (47.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 13 of 36 each (36.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 36 (41.7% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (5 from 181).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Mid ($5–10) accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 10 runners, A/E 2.29) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Thomas Stockdale × C Maher are 5 from 27 (18.5%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #1 Recommendation here.
- Jockey Craig Williams: 24 from 153 (15.7%) in the last 90 days (10 of those in the last 30) — rides #9 Bellatrix Star here.
- Trainer Nick Ryan: 15 from 77 (19.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #8 Winnasedge here.
- Trainer G M Begg: 19 from 106 (17.9%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — saddles #10 Miraval Rose here.