Sportsbet Fixed Odds Exotics (Bm100) — a 1400m benchmark 100 at Caulfield, jumping at 16:15 on — ground, rail out 6m entire circuit. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Caulfield has staged 50 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 27 of 50 (54.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.20).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 21 of 50 (42.0% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.44 (7 from 154).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 25 of 50 (50.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.57 (7 from 291).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 4 of the 6 winners (4 from 24 runners, A/E 1.48) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Jabez Johnstone × C Maher are 16 from 64 (25.0%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #10 Ten Commandments here.
- Together, Jackson Radley × Ben, Will & Jd Hayes are 10 from 44 (22.7%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #3 Coeur Volante here.
- Jockey Craig Williams: 24 from 153 (15.7%) in the last 90 days (10 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Magnaspin here.
- Trainer G M Begg: 19 from 106 (17.9%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — saddles #12 Angland here.
- Jockey Jett Stanley is 5 from 36 at today’s meeting profile (13.9% strike, A/E 2.10) and has #6 Big Swinger here.