Sportsbet Jockey Watch Hcp — a 1400m open at Caulfield, jumping at 13:10 on — ground, rail out 6m entire circuit. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Caulfield has staged 50 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 27 of 50 (54.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.20).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 21 of 50 (42.0% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.44 (7 from 154).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 25 of 50 (50.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.57 (7 from 291).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 4 of the 6 winners (4 from 24 runners, A/E 1.48) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Craig Williams × Ben, Will & Jd Hayes are 6 from 10 (60.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #5 Cruiserweight here.
- Together, Tala Hutchinson × D Clarken & O Macgillivray are 8 from 23 (34.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #1 Like A Drifter here.
- Jockey Jabez Johnstone: 22 from 109 (20.2%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — rides #6 Glam Award here.
- Jockey Jackson Radley: 11 from 57 (19.3%) in the last 30 days — rides #8 King Maywin here.
- Trainer G Eurell: 9 from 35 (25.7%) in the last 30 days — saddles #8 King Maywin here.
- Trainer C Maher: 28 from 169 (16.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #6 Glam Award, #7 Jenni Gone Bonkers here.