Sportsbet Feed Hcp — a 2000m open at Caulfield, jumping at 15:00 on — ground, rail out 6m entire circuit. 10 runners engaged.
At the trip
Caulfield has staged 31 races at 2000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 14 of 31 (45.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 14 of 31 (45.2% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.33 (1 from 44).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 14 of 31 (45.2% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.46 (4 from 198).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 4 runners, A/E 1.64) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Craig Williams × Ben, Will & Jd Hayes are 6 from 10 (60.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #4 Harbour Town here.
- Together, Tala Hutchinson × D Clarken & O Macgillivray are 8 from 23 (34.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Orlova here.
- Jockey Jabez Johnstone: 22 from 109 (20.2%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Decalogue here.
- Jockey Jackson Radley: 11 from 57 (19.3%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Ichnusa here.
- Trainer Patrick Payne: 38 from 193 (19.7%) in the last 90 days (16 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 Dirnaseer, #7 Paddypie, #9 Ferrario here.
- Trainer C Maher: 28 from 169 (16.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #1 Decalogue, #10 Ichnusa here.