Warkworth ITM Mdn — a 1200m maiden at Ruakaka, jumping at 09:55 on — ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ruakaka has staged 14 races at 1200m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 7 of 14 (50.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.31).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 14 (42.9% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.77).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 6 of 14 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 74 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 5 of the 7 winners (5 from 27 runners, A/E 1.91) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey A Lawson-Carroll is 2 from 14 at today’s meeting profile (14.3% strike, A/E 1.59) and has #3 Loose Change here.
- Trainer Ms M L Bradley is 4 from 21 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.57) and has #7 Watermelon Sugar here.