Ruakaka R2

10:28Northland Business Systems Mdn
1200mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Northland Business Systems Mdna 1200m maiden at Ruakaka, jumping at 10:28 on ground, rail true. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Ruakaka has staged 14 races at 1200m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 7 of 14 (50.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.31).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 14 (42.9% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.77).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 6 of 14 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 74 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 5 of the 7 winners (5 from 27 runners, A/E 1.91) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Ms J K Mahoney: 5 from 22 (22.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #6 Withallmygrace here.
  • Trainer A W Pike: 5 from 30 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — saddles #1 Cadaques here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 14 races (14 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)50642.9%12%0.82
Middle (5–9)54750%13%1.31
Wide (10+)4417.1%2.3%0.25

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)21642.9%28.6%1.77
On-pace (4–6)2117.1%4.8%0.43
Midfield (7–10)2300%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)900%0%0.00
Unknown74750%9.5%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)200%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)20642.9%30%0.97
Mid ($5–10)40428.6%10%0.72
Roughie (>$10)86428.6%4.7%1.03

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.