Ruakaka R7

13:25ITM/GIB Whangarei Gold Cup Race
2100mOpenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

ITM/GIB Whangarei Gold Cup Racea 2100m open at Ruakaka, jumping at 13:25 on ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Ruakaka has staged 7 races at 2100m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 4 of 7 (57.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 2 of 7 (28.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 3 of 7 (42.9% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 31).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 27 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 6 runners, A/E 1.64) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Michael Mc Nab: 26 from 144 (18.1%) in the last 90 days — rides #6 Dancin In The Dark here.
  • Trainer Ms M L Bradley is 4 from 21 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.57) and has #5 Bosch here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2100m · 7 races (7 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)27457.1%14.8%1.06
Middle (5–9)30342.9%10%0.80
Wide (10+)1000%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)12228.6%16.7%1.05
On-pace (4–6)1200%0%0.00
Midfield (7–10)12114.3%8.3%0.99
Backmarkers (11+)4114.3%25%2.64
Unknown27342.9%11.1%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)9457.1%44.4%1.60
Mid ($5–10)27342.9%11.1%0.71
Roughie (>$10)3100%0%0.00

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.