Mangawhai ITM Mdn — a 1600m maiden at Ruakaka, jumping at 12:15 on — ground, rail true. 13 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ruakaka has staged 14 races at 1600m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 8 of 14 (57.1% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.25).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 4 of 14 (28.6% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.68).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 8 of 14 (57.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 72 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 8 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.64 (6 from 34).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.98 (1 from 9); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
- Market: edge tilts to Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.07 (3 from 54); overall it's Pop ($2–5).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Michael Mc Nab: 26 from 144 (18.1%) in the last 90 days — rides #1 Malleable here.
- Trainer Ms J K Mahoney: 5 from 22 (22.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #9 Cheerful Smile, #10 Azamira here.
- Jockey A Lawson-Carroll is 2 from 14 at today’s meeting profile (14.3% strike, A/E 1.59) and has #6 Fleetwood here.