HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Pakenham SyntheticMonday 6 July 2026

Pakenham Synthetic R3

13:45Hygain Edge Mdn Plate
1400mMaidenRail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races123456789

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.34top 3
Ranked 1st
12. Insolence
Jye McNeil (11)
Ranked 2nd
14. Top Conti
Lachlan King (1)
Ranked 3rd
9. Jenni Bassett
Lachlan Neindorf (14)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data1
no recent settle
8 Jenni Agogo(7)
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
3 Rainy Night(13)
Midfield8
settle 7–10
16 Master Fox(2)
4 The Decembrist(5)
15 Venus Shock(8)
10 Macca's Angel(9)
17 Duke Of Zhou(10)
12 Insolence(11)
7 Ice Quake(15)
1 Brazen Warrior(16)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
5 Bellabama(3)
6 Gypsy Moon(4)
18 Poetic Way(6)
13 Camegitchee(12)
9 Jenni Bassett(14)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
14 Top Conti(1)

Historical overview

Across the 29 sampled runnings of 1400m at Pakenham Synthetic: Unknown — 9 of 29 winners (31.0% of winners, 10.2% strike, 0.83 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 14 of 29 winners (48.3% of winners, 10.9% strike, 0.98 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1400m · True, 28 races): Unknown — 9 of 28 winners (32.1% of winners, 10.2% strike, 0.83 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 3 from 5 (60.0% strike, 1.0 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 24.1% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).