HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Pakenham SyntheticMonday 6 July 2026

Pakenham Synthetic R9

17:20Duffy And Simon Lawyers (Bm56)
1400mBenchmark 56Rail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races123456789

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.55top 3
Ranked 1st
10. Lotta City
Jamie Mott (14)
Ranked 2nd
9. Dane On Tour
Lachlan Neindorf (2)
Ranked 3rd
11. Phoebe Buffay
Billy Egan (7)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
6 Mr Crafty(6)
2 Ancho(8)
Midfield10
settle 7–10
1 Blondeau(1)
9 Dane On Tour(2)
4 Titan Of Choice(4)
16 Forest Jim(5)
3 Power Cable(9)
7 Capital Grace(10)
5 Express Guard(11)
10 Lotta City(14)
8 Double Pi(15)
14 Yes Maxi(17)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
12 Written Story(3)
11 Phoebe Buffay(7)
18 Tipping Rain(13)
15 Areaan(16)
13 Clinger(18)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
17 Artful Lodger(12)

Historical overview

Across the 29 sampled runnings of 1400m at Pakenham Synthetic: Unknown — 9 of 29 winners (31.0% of winners, 10.2% strike, 0.83 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 14 of 29 winners (48.3% of winners, 10.9% strike, 0.98 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1400m · True, 28 races): Unknown — 9 of 28 winners (32.1% of winners, 10.2% strike, 0.83 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 3 from 5 (60.0% strike, 1.0 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 24.1% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).