HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Pakenham SyntheticMonday 6 July 2026

Pakenham Synthetic R4

14:20Shanks Electrical Mdn Plate
1600mMaidenRail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races123456789

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.71top 3
Ranked 1st
8. Shindy
Lachlan Neindorf (13)
Ranked 2nd
1. Fox Peril
Dylan Dunn (6)
Ranked 3rd
11. Frankel's Word
Jamie Mott (17)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data1
no recent settle
4 Celentre(8)
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield10
settle 7–10
12 Choice Encounter(2)
3 Blanche Bass(4)
2 Rockin' Dee Fox(5)
13 Shellfire(7)
5 Hexed(9)
7 Queen Victorious(10)
6 Just Swift(11)
8 Shindy(13)
17 Achy Breaky Heart(14)
11 Frankel's Word(17)
On-pace6
settle 3–6
15 Lion City Express(1)
16 Nan's Rebel(3)
1 Fox Peril(6)
9 Soul Mistress(12)
14 Evening Tycoon(15)
10 The Lady Venus(16)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 25 sampled runnings of 1600m at Pakenham Synthetic: Unknown — 8 of 25 winners (32.0% of winners, 9.6% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 13 of 25 winners (52.0% of winners, 12.5% strike, 1.0 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1600m · True, 23 races): Unknown — 8 of 23 winners (34.8% of winners, 9.6% strike, 0.82 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 6 (33.3% strike, 0.56 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 4.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).