HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Pakenham SyntheticMonday 6 July 2026

Pakenham Synthetic R8

16:50Bunyip Equipment (Bm56)
1000mBenchmark 56Rail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races123456789

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.51top 3
Ranked 1st
9. Shocap
Lachlan Neindorf (1)
Ranked 2nd
2. Manhattan Thunder
Thomas Stockdale (4)
Ranked 3rd
3. Ruby Avenue
Jye McNeil (7)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
7 Wilf(11)
16 O'mosa(14)
Midfield10
settle 7–10
9 Shocap(1)
10 Smash Blue(3)
2 Manhattan Thunder(4)
6 White Bear(6)
3 Ruby Avenue(7)
4 Stormbourg(9)
11 Invincible Amour(10)
8 Bring The Thunder(16)
1 Bold Print(17)
14 Longreach Drover(18)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
12 Titahi Bay(2)
5 Immortal Triumph(5)
15 Cheeky Contiki(12)
13 Octrain(15)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
18 Squazeemoto(8)
17 Dani California(13)

Historical overview

Across the 10 sampled runnings of 1000m at Pakenham Synthetic: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 7 of 10 winners (70.0% of winners, 25.9% strike, 1.28 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 7 of 10 winners (70.0% of winners, 17.5% strike, 1.2 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1000m · True, 9 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 6 of 9 winners (66.7% of winners, 25.0% strike, 1.26 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 2 (50.0% strike, 0.82 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 0.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).