HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← ToowoombaFriday 3 July 2026

Toowoomba R1

17:00MNP Security Mdn Hcp
1050mMaidenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy2.91top 3
Ranked 1st
2. Spirit Of Riverton
Leslie Tilley (12)
Ranked 2nd
4. Bodysnatcher
Justin P Stanley (1)
Ranked 3rd
14. Tassortium
Kelsey Lenton (11)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data3
no recent settle
1 Bartle Frere(4)
5 Flirtatious Lass(4)
2 Spirit Of Riverton(12)
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
7 Beltone(3)
13 Rupeezy(10)
Midfield3
settle 7–10
11 Mover And Shaker(2)
12 Pride Of Nations(5)
3 Dracarian(6)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
9 Run Ziggy Run(7)
10 Claw Machine(9)
14 Tassortium(11)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
4 Bodysnatcher(1)
8 Jigadee(8)

Historical overview

Across the 12 sampled runnings of 1050m at Toowoomba: Unknown — 5 of 12 winners (41.7% of winners, 10.9% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 6 of 12 winners (50.0% of winners, 13.0% strike, 0.8 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 2 (50.0% strike, 0.87 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 8.3% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1050m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)46650%13%0.80
Middle (5–9)55541.7%9.1%0.80
Wide (10+)918.3%11.1%1.08

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)21216.7%9.5%0.59
On-pace (4–6)21216.7%9.5%0.71
Midfield (7–10)22325%13.6%1.27
Unknown46541.7%10.9%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)218.3%50%0.87
Pop ($2–5)23541.7%21.7%0.72
Mid ($5–10)31541.7%16.1%1.14
Roughie (>$10)5418.3%1.9%0.47