HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← ToowoombaFriday 3 July 2026

Toowoomba R6

19:30Dracarys Stallion Hcp (C1)
1625mClass 1Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
Races1234567
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.08top 3
Ranked 1st
6. Sweet Pretender
Brandon Lerena (2)
Ranked 2nd
1. Zeamaize
Justin P Stanley (10)
Ranked 3rd
8. She's Brutal
Kelsey Lenton (3)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield5
settle 7–10
6 Sweet Pretender(2)
8 She's Brutal(3)
9 Zousain Girl(4)
7 Imarealamerican(6)
3 Chesapeake Babe(8)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
12 Fabara(1)
2 Woot Woot(5)
10 Livewire Lass(9)
1 Zeamaize(10)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
11 Call Sign(6)
5 Jotopeli(7)

Historical overview

Across the 53 sampled runnings of 1625m at Toowoomba: Unknown — 25 of 53 winners (47.2% of winners, 11.7% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 22 of 53 winners (41.5% of winners, 11.2% strike, 0.79 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1625m · True, 19 races): On-pace (settle 4–6) — 7 of 19 winners (36.8% of winners, 19.4% strike, 1.53 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 6 from 13 (46.2% strike, 0.8 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 18.9% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1625m · 53 races (53 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1972241.5%11.2%0.79
Middle (5–9)2082241.5%10.6%0.77
Wide (10+)76917%11.8%1.13

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)85815.1%9.4%0.66
On-pace (4–6)84917%10.7%0.83
Midfield (7–10)861018.9%11.6%0.98
Backmarkers (11+)1311.9%7.7%1.16
Unknown2132547.2%11.7%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)13611.3%46.2%0.80
Pop ($2–5)1092547.2%22.9%0.86
Mid ($5–10)1321222.6%9.1%0.67
Roughie (>$10)2271018.9%4.4%1.02