HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← ToowoombaFriday 3 July 2026

Toowoomba R7

20:00Better Lawyers Group (Bm60)
1890mBenchmark 60Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.45top 3
Ranked 1st
4. Power Of Success
Justin P Stanley (1)
Ranked 2nd
10. Haberfield
Kelsey Lenton (7)
Ranked 3rd
6. Sir Memphis
Stacey Callow (4)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
1 Grey Northern(5)
Midfield7
settle 7–10
8 Super Fair(2)
9 Propose(6)
10 Haberfield(7)
3 Madalsa(9)
11 Medical Autocrat(10)
7 Blumstien(11)
2 Thebarberofseville(12)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
4 Power Of Success(1)
5 Rugby(3)
6 Sir Memphis(4)
13 Bump'n'run(8)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 29 sampled runnings of 1890m at Toowoomba: Unknown — 13 of 29 winners (44.8% of winners, 11.8% strike, 0.81 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 16 of 29 winners (55.2% of winners, 13.4% strike, 0.96 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 4 from 6 (66.7% strike, 1.08 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 10.3% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1890m · 29 races (29 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)106931%8.5%0.61
Middle (5–9)1191655.2%13.4%0.96
Wide (10+)40413.8%10%0.96

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)48620.7%12.5%0.97
On-pace (4–6)47724.1%14.9%1.00
Midfield (7–10)45310.3%6.7%0.61
Backmarkers (11+)1500%0%0.00
Unknown1101344.8%11.8%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)6413.8%66.7%1.08
Pop ($2–5)551241.4%21.8%0.72
Mid ($5–10)671034.5%14.9%1.09
Roughie (>$10)137310.3%2.2%0.51