HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← ToowoombaFriday 3 July 2026

Toowoomba R3

18:00Bottlemart Mdn Hcp
1300mMaidenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
Races1234567
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.57top 3
Ranked 1st
1. Phoenix Legend
Brandon Lerena (11)
Ranked 2nd
14. Redcloud
Gary Geran (6)
Ranked 3rd
9. Lady Barbarossa
Kenji Yoshida (12)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data1
no recent settle
2 By The Dozen(4)
Backmarkers4
settle 11+
15 Wild Bean(2)
12 Beelzie(3)
9 Lady Barbarossa(12)
11 Rose Of Chantilly(19)
Midfield9
settle 7–10
17 Successismagic(1)
7 Esaypeta(5)
18 Nasiron(8)
6 Amazara(9)
3 Painted Dancer(10)
10 Markham Miss(10)
13 Outages(14)
20 Better Go Torque(15)
19 O'explosive(18)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
14 Redcloud(6)
16 Bon Ichi(7)
1 Phoenix Legend(11)
5 Mighty Winston(13)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
4 Something Shiny(16)
8 Jelaila(17)

Historical overview

Across the 65 sampled runnings of 1300m at Toowoomba: Unknown — 21 of 65 winners (32.3% of winners, 10.9% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 33 of 65 winners (50.8% of winners, 13.9% strike, 0.9 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1300m · True, 16 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 6 of 16 winners (37.5% of winners, 15.4% strike, 1.03 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 3 (66.7% strike, 1.09 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 18.5% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 65 races (65 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2373350.8%13.9%0.90
Middle (5–9)2772538.5%9%0.76
Wide (10+)87710.8%8%0.70

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1331827.7%13.5%0.88
On-pace (4–6)1321624.6%12.1%0.87
Midfield (7–10)1411015.4%7.1%0.67
Backmarkers (11+)300%0%0.00
Unknown1922132.3%10.9%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)323.1%66.7%1.09
Pop ($2–5)1503655.4%24%0.83
Mid ($5–10)1481523.1%10.1%0.75
Roughie (>$10)3001218.5%4%0.85