Moruya R2

12:35Bayview Hotel Batemans Bay Country Boosted Hcp (C1)
1210mClass 1Rail: +2m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Bayview Hotel Batemans Bay Country Boosted Hcp (C1)a 1210m class 1 at Moruya, jumping at 12:35 on ground, rail +2m. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Moruya has staged 24 races at 1210m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 11 of 24 (45.8% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (7 from 103).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 9 of 24 (37.5% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 20).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 10 of 24 (41.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 70 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+2m ±1m) covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 3 of the 6 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 1.12) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Damon Budler × Rob Potter are 6 from 31 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #4 Spice Alley here.
  • Together, Coriah Keatings × N J Olive are 7 from 37 (18.9%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #3 Alabama Hussy here.
  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 23 from 113 (20.4%) in the last 90 days — rides #2 Foreign Encounter here.
  • Jockey Pierre Boudvillain: 12 from 64 (18.8%) in the last 30 days — rides #5 Shuttering here.
  • Trainer J Rolfe is 2 from 14 at today’s meeting profile (14.3% strike, A/E 2.16) and has #10 Sogeri here.
  • Jockey Louise Day is 2 from 16 at today’s meeting profile (12.5% strike, A/E 1.25) and has #6 Winnie Fortune here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1210m · 24 races (24 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)931145.8%11.8%0.93
Middle (5–9)103729.2%6.8%0.56
Wide (10+)59625%10.2%1.16

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)54937.5%16.7%0.90
On-pace (4–6)53729.2%13.2%1.17
Midfield (7–10)5828.3%3.4%0.45
Backmarkers (11+)2000%0%0.00
Unknown70625%8.6%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5312.5%60%0.98
Pop ($2–5)391041.7%25.6%0.91
Mid ($5–10)63625%9.5%0.67
Roughie (>$10)148520.8%3.4%0.78

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.