Adelaide Hotel Moruya (Bm74) — a 1435m benchmark 74 at Moruya, jumping at 16:15 on — ground, rail +2m. 20 runners engaged.
At the trip
Moruya has staged 20 races at 1435m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 20 (45.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 20 (25.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 10 of 20 (50.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.40 (2 from 124).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 79 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+2m ±1m) covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 4 of the 7 winners (4 from 10 runners, A/E 1.15) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Brodie Loy: 23 from 113 (20.4%) in the last 90 days — rides #11 Monte Maximus here.
- Jockey Jean Van Overmeire: 34 from 192 (17.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #16 The Stars Align here.
- Trainer Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter: 21 from 108 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Fiftyfivechevy, #9 Butterfly Style, #17 Tillstrom here.
- Trainer Rob Potter: 8 from 51 (15.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Tavolo here.
- Trainer Joseph Ible is 2 from 12 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.39) and has #14 Pretty Sassy here.
- Jockey Louise Day is 2 from 16 at today’s meeting profile (12.5% strike, A/E 1.25) and has #8 Adolphus here.