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← MoruyaFriday 10 July 2026

Moruya R5

14:25Bodalla Pub "best Pub In Bodalla" Super Mdn Plate
1435mMaidenRail: +2m
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Bodalla Pub "best Pub In Bodalla" Super Mdn Plate — a 1435m maiden at Moruya, jumping at 14:25 on — ground, rail +2m. 17 runners engaged.

At the trip

Moruya has staged 20 races at 1435m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 20 (45.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 20 (25.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 10 of 20 (50.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.40 (2 from 124).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 79 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+2m ±1m) covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 4 of the 7 winners (4 from 10 runners, A/E 1.15) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 23 from 113 (20.4%) in the last 90 days — rides #5 Monte Braveheart here.
  • Jockey Jean Van Overmeire: 34 from 192 (17.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #17 Mr Peasant here.
  • Trainer Joseph Ible is 2 from 12 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.39) and has #15 Iconic Promise here.
  • Trainer T J Robinson is 4 from 25 at today’s meeting profile (16.0% strike, A/E 1.29) and has #9 Goddess Minerva here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1435m · 20 races (20 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)75630%8%0.61
Middle (5–9)88945%10.2%0.88
Wide (10+)54525%9.3%1.13

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)39315%7.7%0.61
On-pace (4–6)38525%13.2%1.04
Midfield (7–10)42420%9.5%0.92
Backmarkers (11+)1915%5.3%0.56
Unknown79735%8.9%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)315%33.3%0.58
Pop ($2–5)321050%31.2%1.04
Mid ($5–10)58735%12.1%0.87
Roughie (>$10)124210%1.6%0.40

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.