One Tree In Tuross (Bm66) — a 1020m benchmark 66 at Moruya, jumping at 15:05 on — ground, rail +2m. 13 runners engaged.
At the trip
Moruya has staged 25 races at 1020m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 15 of 25 (60.0% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 31).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 14 of 25 (56.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.29).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 14 of 25 (56.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.19 (1 from 124).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 60 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+2m ±1m) covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 4 of the 7 winners (4 from 27 runners, A/E 1.03) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Brodie Loy: 23 from 113 (20.4%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Big Opinion here.
- Jockey Jean Van Overmeire: 34 from 192 (17.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #2 Sparklenglitter here.
- Trainer Natalie Jarvis: 6 from 28 (21.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #12 Abstruse here.
- Trainer Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter: 21 from 108 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Denial here.
- Trainer J Rolfe is 2 from 14 at today’s meeting profile (14.3% strike, A/E 2.16) and has #6 Arctic Desert here.
- Jockey Louise Day is 2 from 16 at today’s meeting profile (12.5% strike, A/E 1.25) and has #10 Vereeva here.