Moruya R4

13:45Narooma Hotel (Bm58)
930mBenchmark 58Rail: +2m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Narooma Hotel (Bm58)a 930m benchmark 58 at Moruya, jumping at 13:45 on ground, rail +2m. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Moruya has staged 4 races at 930m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 2 of 4 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: no workable sample in this category.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 8 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+2m ±1m) covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: nothing in that limited data stands out; the overall numbers above carry the read.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Damon Budler × Rob Potter are 6 from 31 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #8 Nabha here.
  • Jockey Jean Van Overmeire: 34 from 192 (17.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #6 Merchant Reign here.
  • Trainer Natalie Jarvis: 6 from 28 (21.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Abstruse, #4 Must Be Sain here.
  • Trainer J Rolfe is 2 from 14 at today’s meeting profile (14.3% strike, A/E 2.16) and has #1 I Am Mamwaazel here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
930m · 4 races (4 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)14125%7.1%0.43
Middle (5–9)15250%13.3%1.09
Wide (10+)5125%20%1.55

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)9125%11.1%0.81
On-pace (4–6)8125%12.5%0.68
Midfield (7–10)8125%12.5%1.59
Backmarkers (11+)100%0%0.00
Unknown8125%12.5%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1125%100%1.35
Pop ($2–5)9125%11.1%0.44
Mid ($5–10)9250%22.2%1.59
Roughie (>$10)1500%0%0.00

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.