Cobargo Hotel Mdn Hcp — a 1210m maiden at Moruya, jumping at 13:10 on — ground, rail +2m. 14 runners engaged.
At the trip
Moruya has staged 24 races at 1210m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 11 of 24 (45.8% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (7 from 103).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 9 of 24 (37.5% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 20).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 10 of 24 (41.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 70 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+2m ±1m) covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 3 of the 6 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 1.12) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Jean Van Overmeire: 34 from 192 (17.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #5 Zougotme here.
- Jockey Pierre Boudvillain: 12 from 64 (18.8%) in the last 30 days — rides #12 Mogo Rock here.
- Trainer Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter: 21 from 108 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Pariah Time here.
- Trainer Joseph Ible is 2 from 12 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.39) and has #11 Argantorati here.
- Jockey Louise Day is 2 from 16 at today’s meeting profile (12.5% strike, A/E 1.25) and has #11 Argantorati here.