Moruya Waterfront Hotel (Bm58) — a 1660m benchmark 58 at Moruya, jumping at 15:40 on — ground, rail +2m. 18 runners engaged.
At the trip
Moruya has staged 17 races at 1660m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 8 of 17 (47.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 6 of 17 (35.3% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.40).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 7 of 17 each (41.2% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.53 (7 from 99).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 65 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+2m ±1m) covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Roughie (>$10) accounted for 3 of the 5 winners (3 from 30 runners, A/E 1.92) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Brodie Loy: 23 from 113 (20.4%) in the last 90 days — rides #2 Alamagan here.
- Jockey Jean Van Overmeire: 34 from 192 (17.7%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #11 Beauer here.
- Trainer Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter: 21 from 108 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #16 Tod here.
- Trainer Rob Potter: 8 from 51 (15.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Flashy Icon here.
- Jockey Coriah Keatings is 3 from 15 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 2.02) and has #9 Guy's Last Prize here.
- Trainer Joseph Ible is 2 from 12 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.39) and has #2 Alamagan here.