Scone R3

13:25Yarraman Park Hcp (C1)
900mClass 1Rail: True
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Yarraman Park Hcp (C1)a 900m class 1 at Scone, jumping at 13:25 on ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Scone has staged 14 races at 900m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 10 of 14 (71.4% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.51 (3 from 55).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 8 of 14 (57.1% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.44 (1 from 33).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 9 of 14 (64.3% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 77).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 5 of the 5 winners (5 from 7 runners, A/E 1.80) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Mikayla Weir × S I Singleton are 10 from 68 (14.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #11 Ultimate Say here.
  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 30 from 158 (19.0%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #5 Beyond The Sky here.
  • Jockey Izzy Neale: 7 from 46 (15.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #6 Angie's Sister here.
  • Trainer M D Griffith: 10 from 63 (15.9%) in the last 90 days — saddles #7 Hanuman, #9 Chappolicious here.
  • Jockey Shannen Llewellyn is 3 from 44 at today’s meeting profile (6.8% strike, A/E 1.71) and has #1 Close To Midnight here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
900m · 14 races (14 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)55321.4%5.5%0.51
Middle (5–9)591071.4%16.9%1.07
Wide (10+)1017.1%10%0.70

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)39857.1%20.5%0.90
On-pace (4–6)39428.6%10.3%0.97
Midfield (7–10)3317.1%3%0.44
Backmarkers (11+)300%0%0.00
Unknown1017.1%10%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)6428.6%66.7%1.05
Pop ($2–5)23964.3%39.1%1.11
Mid ($5–10)1817.1%5.6%0.45
Roughie (>$10)7700%0%0.00

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.