Scone R4

14:05Select Events Country Boosted Mdn Plate
1000mMaidenRail: True
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Select Events Country Boosted Mdn Platea 1000m maiden at Scone, jumping at 14:05 on ground, rail true. 19 runners engaged.

At the trip

Scone has staged 27 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 13 of 27 (46.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 12 of 27 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 9 of 27 (32.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 11 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Middle (5–9) — A/E 0.94 (6 from 43); overall it's Wide (10+).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 7–10 — A/E 1.18 (3 from 22); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.85 (3 from 58).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Mikayla Weir × S I Singleton are 10 from 68 (14.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #9 Greyt Remlap here.
  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 30 from 158 (19.0%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #6 Yes To Infinity here.
  • Jockey Olivia Dalton: 8 from 47 (17.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #8 Diablo Dancer here.
  • Jockey Shannen Llewellyn is 3 from 44 at today’s meeting profile (6.8% strike, A/E 1.71) and has #5 Thirty Degrees here.
  • Trainer Brett & Georgie Cavanough is 18 from 79 at today’s meeting profile (22.8% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #2 I'm Flexible, #13 Flaunter here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 27 races (28 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1041242.9%11.5%0.77
Middle (5–9)1021346.4%12.7%0.93
Wide (10+)29310.7%10.3%0.99

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)691242.9%17.4%0.98
On-pace (4–6)68828.6%11.8%0.81
Midfield (7–10)52414.3%7.7%0.87
Backmarkers (11+)1100%0%0.00
Unknown35414.3%11.4%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)12828.6%66.7%1.04
Pop ($2–5)44932.1%20.5%0.65
Mid ($5–10)43517.9%11.6%0.83
Roughie (>$10)136621.4%4.4%1.16

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.