Scone R5

14:40Scone RSL (Bm58)
1700mBenchmark 58Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Scone RSL (Bm58)a 1700m benchmark 58 at Scone, jumping at 14:40 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Scone has staged 11 races at 1700m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 6 of 11 (54.5% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.26).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 4 of 11 each (36.4% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (2 from 35).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 5 of 11 each (45.5% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.47 (5 from 73).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 3 runners, A/E 1.61) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Aaron Bullock × P Messara & L Gavranich are 10 from 25 (40.0%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #4 Maples here.
  • Together, Izzy Neale × S I Singleton are 4 from 10 (40.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #1 Ocean Tsunami here.
  • Trainer Ms J Clement: 22 from 118 (18.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 The Great Armada here.
  • Trainer Brett & Georgie Cavanough is 18 from 79 at today’s meeting profile (22.8% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #11 Souls Companion here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1700m · 11 races (11 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)42218.2%4.8%0.38
Middle (5–9)47654.5%12.8%1.26
Wide (10+)28327.3%10.7%0.88

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)33436.4%12.1%1.08
On-pace (4–6)33436.4%12.1%0.84
Midfield (7–10)35218.2%5.7%0.56
Backmarkers (11+)1619.1%6.2%0.74

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)319.1%33.3%0.61
Pop ($2–5)17545.5%29.4%0.98
Mid ($5–10)2400%0%0.00
Roughie (>$10)73545.5%6.8%1.47

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.