Scone R7

15:55Aberdeen Highland Games (Bm66)
1400mBenchmark 66Rail: True
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 9 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Aberdeen Highland Games (Bm66)a 1400m benchmark 66 at Scone, jumping at 15:55 on ground, rail true. 15 runners engaged.

At the trip

Scone has staged 24 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 11 of 24 (45.8% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.60 (3 from 62).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 11 of 24 (45.8% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.44 (1 from 39).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 24 (62.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.36 (2 from 156).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 11 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Middle (5–9) — A/E 0.89 (5 from 47); overall it's Inside (1–4).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.26 (6 from 30).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.28 (10 from 25).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Jacob Stiff × M R Mulholland are 7 from 35 (20.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #2 Talkachino here.
  • Jockey Aaron Bullock: 30 from 158 (19.0%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #5 Oakfield Utah here.
  • Jockey Mikayla Weir: 15 from 86 (17.4%) in the last 30 days — rides #6 Eighty Eight Stars here.
  • Trainer S I Singleton: 11 from 37 (29.7%) in the last 30 days — saddles #5 Oakfield Utah here.
  • Trainer Ms J Clement: 22 from 118 (18.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Macleay, #11 Proclivity here.
  • Trainer Brett & Georgie Cavanough is 18 from 79 at today’s meeting profile (22.8% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #3 Arapawa here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 24 races (24 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)901145.8%12.2%0.93
Middle (5–9)1021041.7%9.8%0.83
Wide (10+)62312.5%4.8%0.60

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)661145.8%16.7%1.15
On-pace (4–6)66416.7%6.1%0.45
Midfield (7–10)64625%9.4%1.05
Backmarkers (11+)3914.2%2.6%0.44
Unknown1928.3%10.5%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)528.3%40%0.72
Pop ($2–5)471562.5%31.9%1.04
Mid ($5–10)46520.8%10.9%0.82
Roughie (>$10)15628.3%1.3%0.36

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.