Upper Hunter Counrty Tourism Hcp (C1) — a 1300m class 1 at Scone, jumping at 16:35 on — ground, rail true. 18 runners engaged.
At the trip
Scone has staged 25 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 14 of 25 (56.0% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (3 from 73).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 10 of 25 (40.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.23).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 25 (48.0% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (4 from 53).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 4 of the 6 winners (4 from 16 runners, A/E 2.58) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Aaron Bullock × P Messara & L Gavranich are 10 from 25 (40.0%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #8 Avista here.
- Together, Mikayla Weir × S I Singleton are 10 from 68 (14.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #3 Oakfield Missouri here.
- Jockey Olivia Dalton: 8 from 47 (17.0%) in the last 30 days — rides #17 Sahara Splash here.
- Jockey Izzy Neale: 7 from 46 (15.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #16 City Gold Speed here.
- Jockey Shannen Llewellyn is 3 from 44 at today’s meeting profile (6.8% strike, A/E 1.71) and has #1 Gravel Road here.