Newcastle R1

11:25Beresfield Bowling Club Midway Mdn Hcp
900mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Beresfield Bowling Club Midway Mdn Hcpa 900m maiden at Newcastle, jumping at 11:25 on ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Newcastle has staged 52 races at 900m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 26 of 52 (50.0% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.37 (2 from 52).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 28 of 52 (53.8% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (6 from 131).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 30 of 52 (57.7% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.42 (4 from 233).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 1.24 (6 from 36); overall it's Middle (5–9).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 4–6 — A/E 1.67 (5 from 27); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.50 (4 from 20); overall it's Pop ($2–5).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Keagan Latham: 23 from 128 (18.0%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #11 Yvonne's Joy here.
  • Jockey Jean Van Overmeire: 34 from 198 (17.2%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #8 Sprightly Affair here.
  • Trainer Richard Litt is 8 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (29.6% strike, A/E 1.70) and has #10 Wildfire here.
  • Trainer John Thompson is 8 from 46 at today’s meeting profile (17.4% strike, A/E 1.50) and has #11 Yvonne's Joy here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
900m · 52 races (52 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1952446.2%12.3%0.79
Middle (5–9)2132650%12.2%0.98
Wide (10+)5223.8%3.8%0.37

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1502853.8%18.7%0.93
On-pace (4–6)1501630.8%10.7%0.88
Midfield (7–10)131611.5%4.6%0.55
Backmarkers (11+)1300%0%0.00
Unknown1623.8%12.5%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1547.7%26.7%0.45
Pop ($2–5)983057.7%30.6%1.04
Mid ($5–10)1141426.9%12.3%0.91
Roughie (>$10)23347.7%1.7%0.42

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.