Toronto Workers Club Conditional (Bm68) — a 1400m benchmark 68 at Newcastle, jumping at 16:20 on — ground, rail true. 15 runners engaged.
At the trip
Newcastle has staged 49 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 21 of 49 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 19 of 49 (38.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 24 of 49 (49.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 13 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.29 (2 from 16).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 1.00 (4 from 45).
- Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.30 (8 from 21).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey L P Beuzelin: 6 from 34 (17.6%) in the last 90 days — rides #9 Stormbringer here.
- Jockey Keagan Latham: 23 from 128 (18.0%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #5 Three Arrows here.
- Trainer Tom Charlton: 8 from 34 (23.5%) in the last 30 days — saddles #5 Three Arrows here.
- Trainer Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter: 21 from 112 (18.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #11 Tillstrom here.
- Jockey Leeshelle Small is 4 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (14.3% strike, A/E 1.61) and has #12 Spiv here.