The Wests Group Super Mdn Plate — a 900m maiden at Newcastle, jumping at 12:40 on — ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.
At the trip
Newcastle has staged 52 races at 900m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 26 of 52 (50.0% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.37 (2 from 52).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 28 of 52 (53.8% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (6 from 131).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 30 of 52 (57.7% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.42 (4 from 233).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 1.24 (6 from 36); overall it's Middle (5–9).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 4–6 — A/E 1.67 (5 from 27); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
- Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.50 (4 from 20); overall it's Pop ($2–5).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Keagan Latham: 23 from 128 (18.0%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #2 Tsardeal here.
- Jockey Jean Van Overmeire: 34 from 198 (17.2%) in the last 90 days (12 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Misty Veil here.
- Trainer C Maher: 28 from 169 (16.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #4 Misty Veil, #8 Gratifying here.
- Jockey Rebecca Bronett Prag is 3 from 12 at today’s meeting profile (25.0% strike, A/E 1.63) and has #6 Unjust here.
- Jockey Leeshelle Small is 4 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (14.3% strike, A/E 1.61) and has #3 Gunna Reign here.