Club Macquarie Mdn Hcp — a 1200m maiden at Newcastle, jumping at 13:15 on — ground, rail true. 13 runners engaged.
At the trip
Newcastle has staged 21 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 13 of 21 (61.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 9 of 21 (42.9% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.49 (2 from 39).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 10 of 21 (47.6% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (2 from 87).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 4 of the 4 winners (4 from 16 runners, A/E 1.90) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey L P Beuzelin: 6 from 34 (17.6%) in the last 90 days — rides #11 Killa here.
- Jockey Keagan Latham: 23 from 128 (18.0%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #9 Sardar here.
- Trainer Michael Freedman: 24 from 142 (16.9%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #5 Hitch, #16 Hammertime here.
- Trainer G Waterhouse & A Bott: 31 from 205 (15.1%) in the last 90 days (10 of those in the last 30) — saddles #11 Killa here.
- Trainer Richard Litt is 8 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (29.6% strike, A/E 1.70) and has #6 King Commander here.